Determining the impact of regulatory policy on UK gas use using Bayesian analysis on publicly available data

Clifford A. Elwell, Phillip Biddulph, Robert Lowe and Tadj Oreszczyn

Energy Policy, 2015, vol. 86, issue C, 770-783

Abstract: This paper presents a novel method to analyse policy performance, using the example of legislation in the UK to require domestic boilers fitted since 1 April 2005 to be condensing. A technological uptake model based on the logistic equation is combined with four physical and economic models; Bayesian techniques are used for data analysis. Projections of energy savings are presented and the impact of different policy implementation dates investigated.

Keywords: Energy use; Bayesian; Statistics; Efficiency; Boiler (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:86:y:2015:i:c:p:770-783

DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.08.020

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