 The prospective of coal power in China: Will it reach a plateau in the coming decade?Jiahai Yuan, Qi Lei, Minpeng Xiong, Jingsheng Guo and Zheng Hu Energy Policy, 2016, vol. 98, issue C, 495-504 Abstract: Coal power holds the king position in China's generation mix and has resulted in ever-increasing ecological and environmental issues; hence, the development of the electric power sector is confronted with a series of new challenges. China has recently adopted a new economic principle of the “new economic normal,” which has a large effect on the projection electricity demand and power generation planning through 2020. This paper measures electricity demand based upon China's social and economic structure. The 2020 roadmap presents China's developing targets for allocating energy resources to meet new demands, and the 2030 roadmap is compiled based upon an ambitious expansion of clean energy sources. Results show that electricity demand is expected to reach 7500TWh in 2020 and 9730TWh in 2030. Coal power is expected to reach its peak in 2020 at around 970GW, and will then enter a plateau, even with a pathway of active electricity substitution in place. Keywords: Electricity demand; Scenario analysis; Power generation planning; Electric power policy; China (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:enepol:v:98:y:2016:i:c:p:495-504 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.09.025 Access Statistics for this article Energy Policy is currently edited by N. France More articles in Energy Policy from Elsevier |
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