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History of share prices and market efficiency of the Madrid general stock index

Massoud Metghalchi, Chien-Ping Chen and Linda A. Hayes

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2015, vol. 40, issue C, 178-184

Abstract: We apply Moving Average (MA), Relative Strength Indicator (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and trading breakout (TBO) techniques to investigate the weak-form market efficiency of the Madrid General Stock Index, Índice General de la Bolsa de Madrid (IGBM), from 1/2/1975 to 12/31/2012. The empirical results not only strongly validate the predictive power of trading rules with robust statistical significance in all three sub-periods over the thirty-eight years, but also provide the possible strategies to outperform the buy-and-hold strategy with the consideration of transaction costs and risk. This supports the argument against weak-form market efficiency of the IGBM.

Keywords: Technical analysis; Trading indicators; Market efficiency; Buy and hold strategy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:40:y:2015:i:c:p:178-184

DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.05.016

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