Oil price and stock market co-movement: What can we learn from time-scale approaches?
Zied Ftiti (),
Khaled Guesmi and
Ilyes Abid
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2016, vol. 46, issue C, 266-280
Abstract:
This paper study the relationship between oil and stock markets in G7 countries, by distinguishing between interactions based on fundamentals (long-term interdependence: high memory impact) and contagion (short-term interaction: transitory contamination). To do this, we propose in the first time two complementary frequency approaches based: the evolutionary co-spectral analysis and the wavelet approach allowing a time-varying measure of the dynamic correlation between the oil and stock markets over time and across time horizons. We find that interdependence between oil price and the stock market is more pronounced in the short and medium terms than in the long term. In addition, we prove that stock markets are more sensitive to oil shocks originating from demand shocks. These findings provide important policy implications for both policymakers, in terms of taking relevant actions regarding oil shocks originating from the demand side, and investors, in terms of a policy of diversification that depends on horizons.
Keywords: Short-term; Long-term; Wavelet approach; Dynamic correlation; Evolutionary co-spectral analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C22 G12 G15 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (40)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:46:y:2016:i:c:p:266-280
DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.08.011
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