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Media sentiment and CDS spread spillovers: Evidence from the GIIPS countries

Nicholas Apergis (), Marco Chi Keung Lau and Larisa Yarovaya

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2016, vol. 47, issue C, 50-59

Abstract: This study explores the role of newswire messages during the European debt crisis. It quantifies how this news metric, revealed by statements recorded by newspapers articles, affects CDS spillovers across five European countries with sovereign debt problems and strict bail-out programs, i.e. Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain with daily data spanning the period 2009–2012. Using panel ARDL and asymmetric conditional volatility modeling methods, the empirical findings document that the news variable generates significant spillover effects across the underlined CDS markets. These findings cast a cloudy doubt on the effectiveness of economic modeling on which CDS spreads are based.

Keywords: News-wire messages; CDS spreads; European sovereign debt stressful countries; Spillover index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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