EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

An analysis of time-varying commodity market price discovery

Paresh Kumar Narayan and Susan Sunila Sharma

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2018, vol. 57, issue C, 122-133

Abstract: We propose a model of time-varying price discovery based on a rolling-window error correction framework. We show that price discovery in nine commodities is dominated by the spot market, while, in only six commodities, price discovery is dominated by the futures market. Our findings, therefore, challenge the well-established view in commodity markets that it is the futures market which dominates the price discovery process. We also show the economic significance of price discovery through a portfolio construction and hedging strategy.

Keywords: Price discovery; Time-varying; Error correction model; Spot and futures markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521918301777
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:122-133

Access Statistics for this article

International Review of Financial Analysis is currently edited by B.M. Lucey

More articles in International Review of Financial Analysis from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().

 
Page updated 2019-05-11
Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:122-133