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Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index

Imran Yousaf, Manel Youssef and John W. Goodell

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022, vol. 83, issue C

Abstract: We examine the quantile connectedness of returns between the recently developed S&P 500 Twitter Sentiment Index and various asset classes. Rather than a mean-based connectedness measure, we apply quantile-connectedness to explore connectedness of means and, especially, extreme left and right tails of distributions. Using mean-based connectedness measures, the level of return connectedness between the twitter sentiment index and all financial markets is a modest 46%. However, when applying a novel quantile-based connectedness approach, we find that levels of tail-connectedness are much stronger, up to 82%, at extreme upper and lower tails. This suggests that the impact of sentiment on financial markets is much stronger during extreme positive/negative sentiment shocks. Moreover, return connectedness measures are less volatile during extreme events. Net connectedness analysis shows that the Twitter sentiment index acts as a net transmitter of return spillovers, highlighting the leading role of investor sentiment on predicting other financial markets.

Keywords: S&P500 twitter sentiment index; Financial markets; Quantile-based connectedness measures; Extreme sentiment spillovers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 G12 G14 G41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:83:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922002745

DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102322

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