ESG scores and target price accuracy: Evidence from sell-side recommendations in BRICS
Muhammad Umar,
Nawazish Mirza,
Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi and
Bushra Naqvi
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022, vol. 84, issue C
Abstract:
ESG profiling of a firm reflects its exposure to various environmental, social, and governance factors, which influence the business dynamics and impact the valuation metrics. In this paper, we evaluate the relationship between ESG scores and the target price precision of sell-side analysts. We employ four different constructs of forecast accuracy on a comprehensive sample of firms with analyst coverage in the BRICS between 2011 and 2021. The results demonstrate that the ESG score positively impacts the target price accuracy, and firms with higher ESG scores have lower forecast errors. The findings remained robust even after segregating the sample based on buy, hold, and sell recommendations. Finally, we report that within ESG, environmental and governance factors largely explain the forecast accuracy while the social aspects were insignificant. The results also suggest that the precision of sell-side analysts is persistent across periods. These findings have important implications for investors.
Keywords: ESG; Sell-side analysts; Forecast accuracy; Valuations; BRICS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G20 G29 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (19)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:84:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922003398
DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102389
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