Numerological superstitions and market-wide herding: Evidence from China
Yueting Cui,
Konstantinos Gavriilidis,
Bartosz Gebka and
Vasileios Kallinterakis
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024, vol. 93, issue C
Abstract:
We empirically investigate the effect of traditional Chinese numerological superstitions over market-wide herding in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges for the 2000–2020 period, based on a classification of stocks as lucky/unlucky contingent on the presence of digits deemed numerologically lucky/unlucky in their tickers. We find no compelling evidence that herding is more pronounced in those superstitious stocks, as compared to the rest of the stock market. Both superstitious stock-types herd exclusively on high-volatility days and exhibit some pronounced patterns in up vs down markets; these effects are not significantly different from the behaviour of non-superstitious stocks, however. Similarly, herding in both superstitious stock-types is largely noise-driven, but the same effect is observed for non-superstitious stocks. The similarities in herding between superstitious and non-superstitious stocks suggest that numerological superstitions do not motivate significantly stronger herding in Chinese markets.
Keywords: Superstition; Herding; Noise; Retail investors; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G14 G41 Z10 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:93:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924001315
DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103199
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