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Sentiment and information: How ‘over-optimistic’ investors influence differences of opinion and IPO pricing?

Di Wu and Danlu Bu

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2024, vol. 95, issue PB

Abstract: Miller (1977) predicts that under short-sale constraints, when emotional investors gain stronger bargaining power relative to rational investors, disagreement among investors widens, leading to overvaluation of IPOs. With a difference-in-differences model, we find that the 2021 reform of China's inquiry system expanded investor disagreement due to the introduction of overly optimistic investors, resulting in overvaluation of IPOs and poor initial returns. Influenced by overly optimistic investors, rational investors experience a partial increase in information levels, generating a masking effect in the emotional impact chain. Our study supports Miller's hypothesis, contributing to understanding the roles of ‘emotion’ and ‘information’ in shaping disagreement and enhancing IPO pricing efficiency.

Keywords: Difference of opinion; Initial public offering (IPO); Heterogeneous beliefs; Optimism rationality; First-day market price (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 G18 G28 G32 G41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finana:v:95:y:2024:i:pb:s1057521924003685

DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103436

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