Histogram-based prediction of directional price relatives
Oriol Roch
Finance Research Letters, 2013, vol. 10, issue 3, 110-115
Abstract:
A model of directional prediction of price relatives is proposed following the histogram-based scheme developed in Györfi et al. (2006). This methodology allows us to exploit potential information contained in multivariate series of price relatives. The impact of the model is studied from the perspective of an economic agent through the use of double linear loss functions. A numerical example with real data is presented to illustrate the model.
Keywords: Directional prediction; Return sign dependence; Asymmetric loss; Exchange rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:10:y:2013:i:3:p:110-115
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2013.06.003
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