Testing for asymmetric causality between U.S. equity returns and commodity futures returns

Duc Khuong Nguyen, Ricardo Sousa and Gazi Salah Uddin

Finance Research Letters, 2015, vol. 12, issue C, 38-47

Abstract: This paper examines the causal relationships between the U.S. equity returns and the returns of energy, metal and agricultural commodity futures. Using an analytical framework that accounts for seasonal effects on commodity returns, we find that asymmetry plays an important role in these two-way around relationships. This asymmetry seems to be more relevant since 2000 than in the nineties, and the asymmetric linkages are observed both when returns are measured in nominal and real terms.

Keywords: Equity returns; Commodity futures returns; Asymmetric causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 G10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (29)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:12:y:2015:i:c:p:38-47

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2014.12.002

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