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The macro-finance environment and asset allocation: A simultaneous equation approach

Antonio Moreno (), James Orlando and Dulce M. Redin

Finance Research Letters, 2016, vol. 18, issue C, 199-204

Abstract: We propose a novel methodology to identify latent factors influencing investment allocations in financial assets. By drawing logical paths in a structural equation model (SEM) framework, we uncover the role of a latent return factor that simultaneously shapes the dynamics of different financial assets. Our methodology allows for disentangling the different components of asset returns – those driven by fundamental and non-fundamental variables. We apply this methodology to Euro-area stocks and sovereign bonds over the 2003–2014 period. Lower economic and political uncertainty in Europe triggers a trade-off towards stocks and away from bonds, while U.S. Quantitative Easing boosts European stocks.

Keywords: Structural equation model; Asset allocation; Latent return factor; Europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C30 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:18:y:2016:i:c:p:199-204

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.017

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