Geopolitical risks and the oil-stock nexus over 1899–2016
Rangan Gupta (),
Christos Kollias and
Stephanos Papadamou ()
Finance Research Letters, 2017, vol. 23, issue C, 165-173
Markets are invariably influenced and affected not only by the usual array of economic and financial factors, but also by uncertainty inducing shocks. Using monthly stock and oil data that spans over a century, this study takes a long historical perspective on whether the time-varying stock–oil covariance, their returns and their variances are affected by geopolitical risk, as encapsulated and quantified by a recently developed index (Caldara and Iacoviello, 2016). The results reveal that geopolitical risk triggers a negative effect, mainly on oil returns and volatility, and to a smaller degree on the covariance between the two markets.
Keywords: Geopolitical risk; Stock and oil markets; BEKK-GARCH models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H56 G1 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Working Paper: Geopolitical Risks and the Oil-Stock Nexus Over 1899-2016 (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:23:y:2017:i:c:p:165-173
Access Statistics for this article
Finance Research Letters is currently edited by R. GenÃ§ay
More articles in Finance Research Letters from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().