Future of jobs in China under the impact of artificial intelligence

Chengzhang Wang, Min Zheng, Xiaoming Bai, Youwei Li and Wei Shen

Finance Research Letters, 2023, vol. 55, issue PA

Abstract: This study presents a new task-based quantification method for constructing Chinese occupational dataset based on the features of US jobs. Furthermore, we estimate the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on jobs in China by determining substitution probability using a LightGBM-based prediction model. The results show that 54% of jobs in China would be substituted by AI in the following decades. Relatively speaking, unit heads are the safest jobs in China, whereas jobs intensive in perceptive and manipulative tasks are highly susceptible to substitution.

Keywords: Artificial intelligence; Labor markets; Task-based quantification; Substitution probability; LightGBM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:55:y:2023:i:pa:s154461232300171x

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103798

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