The impact of global uncertainties on the spillover among the European carbon market, the Chinese oil futures market, and the international oil futures market

Hong Liu, Yulin Zhu, Na Cui and Yan Zheng

Finance Research Letters, 2024, vol. 67, issue PB

Abstract: This paper employs the TVP-VAR-DY model to investigate the spillover among the European carbon market (EUA), the Chinese oil futures market (INE), and the Brent oil futures market (Brent) and explores whether their spillovers affect their volatility. Furthermore, we explore the impact of global uncertainties about the economy, finance, and geopolitics on their spillovers. The static analysis shows INE as a spillover receiver and EUA and Brent as transmitters. Dynamic analysis reveals spillover peaks during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, volatilities are positively influenced by spillovers among them. Finally, economic and financial uncertainties increase spillovers, while geopolitical uncertainties decrease them.

Keywords: European carbon market; Chinese oil futures market; International oil futures market; Time-varying spillover; Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:67:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324009218

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105891

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