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The time-varying impact of geopolitical risks on financial stress in China: A TVP-VAR analysis

Fanyi Wang, Weiwei Zhang and Du Zhang

Finance Research Letters, 2024, vol. 69, issue PA

Abstract: This study employs the TVP-VAR model to investigate the dynamic impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) on China's Financial Stress Index (FSI). The results indicate that GPR is a significant source of financial stress in China. Geopolitical shocks during major geopolitical events or specific periods lead to sharp increases or decreases in China's FSI, demonstrating a complex time-varying impact mechanism. The effects of GPRT and GPRA on FSI show clear time-varying characteristics and structural changes. The impact of GPRC on China's FSI has shifted over time.

Keywords: Geopolitical risks; Financial stress; Cross-border capital flows (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pa:s1544612324011632

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106134

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