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Do markets pay attention to political disinformation?

Christopher Hartwell and Elena Hubschmid-Vierheilig

Finance Research Letters, 2024, vol. 70, issue C

Abstract: They do, but not in ways one might think. Using an example from the 2016 Presidential election in the United States, we show that days with heavy doses of disinformation related to the candidates do not affect broad index stock returns. However, disinformation that was strongly pro-Hillary Clinton was associated with a substantial lowering of conditional volatility of stocks, even when controlling for other macroeconomic news and news sentiment.

Keywords: Disinformation; Elections; Trump; Clinton; Volatility; Confirmation bias (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G18 Z18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:70:y:2024:i:c:s1544612324013953

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106366

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