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Is the difference between deep hedging and delta hedging a statistical arbitrage?

Pascal François, Geneviève Gauthier, Frédéric Godin and Carlos Octavio Pérez Mendoza

Finance Research Letters, 2025, vol. 73, issue C

Abstract: Horikawa and Nakagawa (2024) claim that in a complete market admitting statistical arbitrage, the difference between the deep hedging and the replicating portfolio hedging positions is a statistical arbitrage. Deep hedging can thus include an undesirable speculative component. We test whether this remains true in a GARCH-based incomplete market dynamics. We observe that the difference between deep hedging and delta hedging is a speculative overlay if the risk measure considered does not put sufficient relative weight on adverse outcomes. Nevertheless, a suitable choice of risk measure can prevent the deep hedging agent from engaging in speculation.

Keywords: Deep reinforcement learning; Optimal hedging; Arbitrage (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C45 C61 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finlet:v:73:y:2025:i:c:s1544612324016192

DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106590

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