Heiko Jacobs and
Journal of Financial Markets, 2018, vol. 41, issue C, 57-76
By quantifying the tone of firm-specific articles in leading national newspapers between 1989 and 2010, we propose a bottom-up measure of aggregate journalist disagreement. In line with theoretical considerations, our novel high-frequency proxy for differences of opinion negatively forecasts the market return, in particular during recessions. Moreover, it has predictive power for the cross-section of stock returns. Collectively, our insights support asset pricing theories incorporating belief dispersion and highlight the role of the media in this context.
Keywords: Media; Journalists; Textual analysis; Differences of opinion; Return predictability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finmar:v:41:y:2018:i:c:p:57-76
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