Options-implied information and the momentum cycle
Wen-I Chuang and
Journal of Financial Markets, 2021, vol. 53, issue C
We employ options-implied information derived from implied volatility spreads and implied volatility skews to identify the momentum stage of stocks. We show that the early-stage (late-stage) momentum strategy of buying identified early-stage (late-stage) winners and selling identified early-stage (late-stage) losers outperforms (underperforms) the conventional momentum strategy of buying winners and selling losers across all momentum stages. We also find that the price momentum of the early-stage (late-stage) momentum strategy experiences slower (faster) reversal than that of the conventional momentum strategy. The outperformance of the early-stage momentum strategy comes primarily from the contribution of losers, as options-implied measures better place losers in their momentum stages than winners. Moreover, the identification ability of options-implied measures increases with the informativeness of the options market and, more importantly, is driven by their predictive information about a firm’s fundamentals, particularly for profitability. Overall, our results indicate that options-implied information is useful in identifying the momentum stages of stocks.
Keywords: Momentum stage; Options-implied information; Implied volatility spread and skew; Early- and late-stage momentum strategies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G12 G13 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finmar:v:53:y:2021:i:c:s1386418120300343
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Financial Markets is currently edited by B. Lehmann, D. Seppi and A. Subrahmanyam
More articles in Journal of Financial Markets from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().