Is trouble brewing for emerging market economies? An empirical analysis of emerging market economies’ bond flows

Manuel Ramos-Francia and Santiago Garcia-Verdu
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Manuel Ramos Francia

Journal of Financial Stability, 2018, vol. 35, issue C, 172-191

Abstract: This paper explores the bond flows dynamics for a set of emerging market economies. It documents that these flows have, in general, positive co-movements, and exhibit risk-reversals, and negative feedback with their associated risk premiums. A number of mechanisms could explain these features. However, we find evidence that lends support to the presence of the risk-taking channel. In particular, we find indications that unexpected changes in US monetary policy affect such dynamics, and that their effects seem to have grown with the size of the international investors’ position in emerging market economies’ bonds. The main results are robust to different measures of the US monetary policy stance, and to the use of macroeconomic and financial variables as controls. Our broader interest is the potential financial stability risks building up, which could materialize as US monetary policy normalizes.

Keywords: Bond flows; Emerging market economies; US monetary policy; Risk-taking channel; Financial stability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C7 E5 F3 F4 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1572308917301420
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finsta:v:35:y:2018:i:c:p:172-191

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2017.02.005

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Financial Stability is currently edited by I. Hasan, W. C. Hunter and G. G. Kaufman

More articles in Journal of Financial Stability from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().