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Bank risk-taking in emerging economies: Empirical evidence and theory

Jorge Pozo

Journal of Financial Stability, 2023, vol. 67, issue C

Abstract: This article empirically studies the impact of foreign shocks on bank risk-taking in emerging economies. We use a country panel model for the 2001–2017 period. Using several measures of bank risk-taking, financial openness and foreign debt participation, we find if anything that the lower the financial openness in an economy, the higher the likelihood that the foreign monetary policy rate increases bank risk-taking and that the foreign debt participation reduces bank risk-taking. To provide an intuition of these results, we develop a simple small open economy model with banks facing foreign borrowing limits and taking excessive risk. The novel result is that, when the foreign borrowing limit binds, a lower foreign interest rate reduces excessive bank risk-taking. Since the foreign borrowing limit binds, the lower foreign rate does not boost bank credit but reduces bank default probability, which diminishes bank incentives to take excessive risk. Similarly, greater access to the international credit markets reduces excessive bank risk-taking.

Keywords: Bank risk-taking; Foreign borrowing; Bank default probability; Monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 F41 G01 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finsta:v:67:y:2023:i:c:s1572308923000360

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101136

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Journal of Financial Stability is currently edited by I. Hasan, W. C. Hunter and G. G. Kaufman

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