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Firm-level political risk and stock price crashes

Panagiota Makrychoriti and Emmanouil G. Pyrgiotakis

Journal of Financial Stability, 2024, vol. 74, issue C

Abstract: In this study, we examine the relationship between firm-level political risk and stock price crash risk. Using a broad dataset of 4230 U.S. firms, 38,097 firm-year observations from 2002 to 2019, we reveal a positive association between political risk and stock price crash risk. These findings are robust to several model specifications and endogeneity checks. By using the Brexit referendum as a quasi-natural experiment, we provide evidence of a causal relationship between political risk and crash risk. Through channel analysis, we identify that this relationship is mediated via higher idiosyncratic volatility, lower price informativeness, and higher distress risk. We also find that our results are more pronounced in intangible-intensive firms. Interestingly, we show that managers of these firms respond to political risk by engaging in bad news hoarding. Finally, strong (external or internal) corporate governance mechanisms can moderate the positive relationship between political risk and stock price crash risk.

Keywords: Political risk; Stock price crash risk; Inventor disagreement; Agency channels; Price informativeness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F23 F5 F65 G11 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:finsta:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1572308924000883

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101303

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Journal of Financial Stability is currently edited by I. Hasan, W. C. Hunter and G. G. Kaufman

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