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Are credit default swaps still a sideshow? How information flow between equity and CDS markets has changed since the financial crisis

Ruolin Wang, Anup Basu and Adam Clements

Global Finance Journal, 2023, vol. 57, issue C

Abstract: We examine the information flow between equity and credit default swap (CDS) markets using firm-level returns data before and after the global financial crisis. Before the crisis, the information flow was unidirectional, with equity returns leading CDS returns. While equity returns continue to lead CDS returns after the crisis, we find that the speed of adjustment of the CDS market to equity markets has increased during this period. We also find evidence of a bidirectional flow of information between these markets, with equity returns responding to credit protection returns in the postcrisis period. The quicker response of CDS spreads to equity returns during the postcrisis period primarily occurs among entities with lower credit ratings. In contrast, the response of equity returns to lagged CDS returns during the postcrisis period is observed among firms across different credit rating categories; however, the magnitude of the response is higher among those with lower credit ratings.

Keywords: Credit default swaps (CDS); Market efficiency; Price discovery; Global financial crisis (GFC); Dodd–Frank Act; Lead-lag relation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G10 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:glofin:v:57:y:2023:i:c:s1044028323000443

DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2023.100849

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