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The evolution of the relationship between onshore and offshore RMB markets under asymmetric volatility spillovers

Jie Li and Aaron D. Smallwood

Global Finance Journal, 2025, vol. 65, issue C

Abstract: The exchange rate system in China is unique, as onshore and offshore markets exist for a single currency. This paper investigates the evolution of information transmission for each market and explores their relative roles in driving price discovery and volatility spillovers as the RMB becomes more market oriented. We find that onshore returns and volatilities are increasingly influenced by the offshore market, with differences across various exchange rate policy phases. Using a novel method to capture asymmetric spillovers, the findings also show that the volatility of the onshore market is much more susceptible to offshore shocks when the RMB depreciates. To determine the factors influencing the strength of volatility spillovers, we provide additional regression analysis. The results show that capital flows and the degree of intervention are important determinants of information flows under unexpected RMB weakness in recent samples.

Keywords: Onshore and offshore RMB spillovers; Asymmetric BEKK; Multivariate skew-student density function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 F33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:glofin:v:65:y:2025:i:c:s1044028325000134

DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101086

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