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Understanding drought shocks: Bank financial stability and loan performance

S. Mehmet Özsoy, Mehdi Rasteh and Erkan Yönder

Global Finance Journal, 2025, vol. 65, issue C

Abstract: Unlike other climate shocks, droughts are slow and silent, and their impacts are not immediate. We define a two-year drought shock at the bank level and quantify the impact of droughts on bank stability and performance. Applying a difference-in-differences methodology, we find drought shocks to significantly worsen Z-Score, return on assets, and stock volatility. Non-performing loans of affected banks are significantly higher compared to unaffected banks. The economic impacts are comparable to those associated with a 1 % decline in unemployment rate. We also document that affected banks close branches in drought-hit regions but do not increase their capital ratios.

Keywords: Climate risk; Drought; Bank stability; Bank financial performance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G21 G32 L25 Q25 Q51 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:glofin:v:65:y:2025:i:c:s1044028325000274

DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101100

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