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Coupled Petri nets for computer network risk analysis

Matthew H. Henry, Ryan M. Layer and David R. Zaret

International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 2010, vol. 3, issue 2, 67-75

Abstract: This paper presents a framework for quantifying the risk induced by the potential for cyber attacks levied against network-supported operations. It also permits a formal assessment of candidate risk management policies that address network host vulnerabilities and host-process coupling. The framework incorporates a novel application of Petri net state coverability analysis coupled with process failure mode analysis. It extends previous work on Petri nets for attack analysis in three ways: (i) new metrics that quantify risk as a function of Petri net state and techniques for evaluating the metrics based on the minimal coverability set of a Petri net; (ii) a new method for coupling a Petri net representation of a computer network attack to a process failure modes model; and (iii) a new method for identifying high-value risk management opportunities. The paper concludes by presenting an application of the analysis techniques to evaluate risk in process control networks.

Keywords: Petri nets; Computer network attack modeling; Risk analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ijocip:v:3:y:2010:i:2:p:67-75

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2010.05.002

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