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Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality

Kirill Borusyak and Xavier Jaravel

Journal of International Economics, 2024, vol. 150, issue C

Abstract: What is the nature of the distributional effects of trade? This paper demonstrates conceptually and empirically the importance of “trade-induced horizontal inequality,” i.e. inequality that occurs among workers with the same level of earnings before the trade shock. This type of inequality does not affect the income distribution but generates winners and losers at all income levels. To quantify the horizontal inequality and changes in the income distribution induced by trade in a data-driven way, we develop a characterization of the welfare impacts, governed by simple and intuitive statistics of labor market and consumption exposure to trade. In the U.S., we find substantial heterogeneity in exposure and thus in the welfare effects of trade shocks across workers. Over 99% of the variance of welfare changes from trade shocks arises within income deciles. These findings run against a popular narrative that “trade wars are class wars.”

Keywords: Trade liberalization; Distributional effects; Inequality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D63 F14 F16 F60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Working Paper: Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality (2024) Downloads
Working Paper: Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Are trade wars class wars? The importance of trade-induced horizontal inequality (2022) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:inecon:v:150:y:2024:i:c:s002219962400062x

DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2024.103935

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