 Cause-of-death mortality: What can be learned from population dynamics?Alexandre Boumezoued, Héloïse Labit Hardy, Nicole El Karoui and Séverine Arnold Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2018, vol. 78, issue C, 301-315 Abstract: This paper analyses cause-of-death mortality changes and its impacts on the whole population evolution. The study combines cause-of-death analysis and population dynamics techniques. Our aim is to measure the impact of cause-of-death reduction on the whole population age structure, and more specifically on the dependency ratio which is a crucial quantity for pay-as-you-go pension systems. Although previous studies on causes of death focused on mortality indicators such as survival curves or life expectancy, our approach provides additional information by including birth patterns. As an important conclusion, our numerical results based on French data show that populations with identical life expectancies can present important differences in their age pyramid resulting from different cause-specific mortality reductions. Sensitivities to fertility level and population flows are also given. Keywords: Cause-of-death mortality; Population dynamics; Birth and death process; Individual-Based model; Age pyramid; Age dependency ratio; Macroscopic behavior (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:insuma:v:78:y:2018:i:c:p:301-315 DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.015 Access Statistics for this article Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is currently edited by R. Kaas, Hansjoerg Albrecher, M. J. Goovaerts and E. S. W. Shiu More articles in Insurance: Mathematics and Economics from Elsevier |
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