Impacts of oil shocks on stock markets in Norway and Japan: Does monetary policy's effectiveness matter?

Soheil Roudari, Walid Mensi, Sami Al Kharusi and Farzaneh Ahmadian-Yazdi

International Economics, 2023, vol. 173, issue C, 343-358

Abstract: This paper examines the simultaneous effects of oil shocks on stock markets under different regimes in Norway (as an oil-exporting economy) and Japan (as an oil-importing economy). We use a Structural Threshold VAR model and rely on the monetary policy's effectiveness. Our results show that oil shocks, mainly oil demand shocks, are significantly associated with the oil structure of the country (oil-exporting or oil-importing), channels of the effectiveness of the monetary policy, and the stock market regimes. Furthermore, the channel through which the money supply growth affects Norway's economic growth depends on the stock market regimes. Moreover, the results persist for the money growth-inflation nexus. Similarly, the impact of oil demand shocks depends on the Japanese stock market's regime and the monetary policy's effectiveness. Finally, we find that positive output shocks positively affect the stock markets of both countries in the long run regardless of the stock market conditions. In the short run, a positive inflation shock has a negative (positive) impact on Norway (Japan) during bullish and bearish market conditions.

Keywords: Oil shocks; Stock market; Effectiveness of the monetary policy; TSVAR model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C24 E44 G23 Q31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:inteco:v:173:y:2023:i:c:p:343-358

DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2023.01.006

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