Exchange rate response to macronews: Through the lens of microstructure
Tanseli Savaser
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2011, vol. 21, issue 1, 107-126
Abstract:
This study investigates the microeffects of macronews using customer price-contingent orders (i.e. stop-loss and take-profit orders) data from a large foreign exchange dealing bank in the pound/dollar market. Results reveal that price-contingent order placement intensifies 3-5 h prior to the news events. I examine the link between this surge in order placement and the exchange-rate jump following the announcement. I find that price-contingent orders can enhance our ability to explain post-release exchange-rate returns by half. Furthermore, the estimated effect of orders is orthogonal to the news surprises. This implies that there may be a component of the news response that purely reflects institutional features such as order types and not necessarily the content of the public information itself.
Keywords: Exchange; rates; Public; news; Currency; market; Microstructure; Order; flow; High; frequency; Stop-loss; Price-contingent; trading; Positive-feedback; trading (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfin:v:21:y:2011:i:1:p:107-126
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