Is Fundamental Indexation able to time the market? Evidence from the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 1000

Doris Chen, Michael Dempsey and Paul Lajbcygier

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2015, vol. 37, issue C, 162-177

Abstract: Fundamental Indexation weights stock according to a firm's economic size, not stock price or market capitalization. This means that at least in theory, unlike traditional market capitalization weighted indexes, it prevents overinvestment in overpriced stock and vice versa. It should therefore effectively time the market by avoiding incorrect investment in cyclically mispriced stock. We ascertain if Fundamental Indexation outperforms traditional indexing and whether any outperformance can be attributed to market timing. Using almost fifty years of Dow Jones Industrial Average index and Russell 1000 index returns, we find some evidence of limited market timing but no evidence of overall positive abnormal performance.

Keywords: Indexing; Market capitalized weighted index; Fundamental weighted index; Equal weighted index; Market timing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfin:v:37:y:2015:i:c:p:162-177

DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2015.02.004

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