Emerging stock market exuberance and international short-term flows

Xichen Wang, Yan, Ji (Karena), Cheng Yan and Giray Gözgör

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2021, vol. 75, issue C

Abstract: We investigate bubble-like dynamics in 22 Emerging Market Economies (EMEs). We identify the existence of synchronized stock markets' exuberance across EMEs before the 2000s Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We also investigate whether international short-term capital flows help to predict such episodes of exuberance. We find that all three types of short-term flows are significant, but international equity flows prove the most robust predictor. International capital flows (especially equity flows) partially explain the synchronization of exuberance detected and thus demand close attention when monitoring bubble-like dynamics.

Keywords: Global financial crisis; Stock bubbles; Capital flows; Emerging markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 F21 F32 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfin:v:75:y:2021:i:c:s1042443121001323

DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2021.101417

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