Does systematic tail risk matter?

Evarist Stoja, Arnold Polanski, Linh H. Nguyen and Aleksandr Pereverzin

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2023, vol. 82, issue C

Abstract: Systematic tail risk is considered an important determinant of expected returns on risky assets. We examine its impact from two perspectives in a unified framework which originates from a simple asset pricing model. From the first perspective, systematic tail risk is proxied by a generalized tail dependence coefficient and is compensated with an economically sizeable and statistically significant premium. From the second perspective, systematic tail risk is proxied by the product of the same coefficient with a normalized tail risk measure and does not appear to earn a premium. We examine these contradictory findings and attempt to reconcile them. Evidence suggests that the components of our second systematic tail risk measure may be subject to common features. This finding may help explain the contradictory evidence in the literature.

Keywords: Tail dependence; Systematic tail risk; Tail risk beta; Risk premium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s1042443122001706

DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2022.101698

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