Winning methods for forecasting tourism time series

Lee C. Baker and Jeremy Howard

International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, vol. 27, issue 3, 850-852

Abstract: We constituted Team "Lee C. Baker", which won the online tourism forecasting competition. Our forecasts had the smallest MASE for the first part of the competition involving 518 annual time series, and the second smallest MASE for the second part of the competition involving 427 quarterly time series and 366 monthly time series. In this article, we briefly describe the methods we used.

Date: 2011
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