A brief history of forecasting competitions

Rob Hyndman

International Journal of Forecasting, 2020, vol. 36, issue 1, 7-14

Abstract: Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions.

Keywords: Evaluation; Forecasting accuracy; Kaggle; M competitions; Neural networks; Prediction intervals; Probability scoring; Time series (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (24)

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Working Paper: A Brief History of Forecasting Competitions (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:1:p:7-14

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.015

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