The turn-of-the-year effect and tax-loss-selling by institutional investors
Stephanie A. Sikes
Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2014, vol. 57, issue 1, 22-42
Abstract:
Prior studies attribute the turn-of-the-year effect whereby small capitalization stocks earn unusually high returns in early January to tax-loss-selling by individual investors and window-dressing by institutional investors. My results suggest that a significant portion of the effect on turn-of-the-year returns that prior studies attribute to window-dressing is actually attributable to tax-loss-selling by institutional investors. Among small capitalization stocks, I find that institutional investors with strong tax incentives and weak window-dressing incentives realize significantly more losses in the fourth quarter than in the first three quarters of the calendar year, and that their fourth quarter realized losses have a significant impact on turn-of-the-year returns. A one percentage point change in these institutional investors' fourth quarter realized losses scaled by a firm's market capitalization results in an increase of 47 basis points in the firm's average daily return over the first three trading days of January, which represents a 46 percent change for the mean firm.
Keywords: Turn-of-the-year effect; Tax-loss-selling; Institutional investors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G20 H24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:57:y:2014:i:1:p:22-42
DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2013.12.002
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