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Analysts’ estimates of the cost of equity capital

Karthik Balakrishnan, Lakshmanan Shivakumar and Peeyush Taori

Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2021, vol. 71, issue 2

Abstract: We explore a large sample of analysts' estimates of the cost of equity capital (CoE) to evaluate their usefulness as expected return proxies (ERP). We find that the CoE estimates are significantly related to a firm's beta, size, book-to-market ratio, leverage, and idiosyncratic volatility but not other risk proxies. Even after controlling for the popular return predictors, the CoE estimates incrementally predict future stock returns. This predictive ability is better explained as the CoE estimates containing ERP information rather than reflecting stock mispricing. When evaluated against traditional ERPs, including the implied costs of capital, the CoE estimates are found to be the least noisy. Finally, we document CoE responses around earnings announcements, demonstrating their usefulness to study discount-rate reactions of market participants. We conclude that analysts' CoE estimates are meaningful ERPs that can be fruitfully employed in a variety of asset pricing contexts.

Keywords: Analysts; Cost of equity; Expected stock returns; Implied cost of equity capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 G24 G29 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:71:y:2021:i:2:s0165410120300690

DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2020.101367

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Journal of Accounting and Economics is currently edited by J. L. Zimmerman, S. P. Kothari, T. Z. Lys and R. L. Watts

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