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Learning from the Joneses: Technology spillover, innovation externality, and stock returns

Kevin Tseng

Journal of Accounting and Economics, 2022, vol. 73, issue 2

Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence for the role of technology spillover, an important innovation externality, in asset pricing. Using patent and R&D data, I show that firms with more technology spillover earn 7.7% higher annualized returns than firms with less technology spillover. Exploiting three quasi-natural experiments, I find that the return effect is strengthened (attenuated) when there is a plausibly exogenous increase (decrease) in the flow of technological information across firms. I also find that firms with more technology spillover have higher cash flow sensitivity to aggregate consumption, numbers of new products, and stock return synchronicity. These findings are consistent with models on learning about new technology; specifically, spillover enables learning about new technology to facilitate timely and large-scale adoption of new technology, which in turn exposes spillover recipients to additional systematic risk. These findings highlight the influence of innovation externality on stock returns.

Keywords: Technology spillover; Externality; Natural experiments; Information flow; Disclosure; Stock returns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D62 D83 G12 O30 O31 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:73:y:2022:i:2:s0165410122000015

DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2022.101478

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Journal of Accounting and Economics is currently edited by J. L. Zimmerman, S. P. Kothari, T. Z. Lys and R. L. Watts

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