Assessing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global air transportation: From the view of mass flight trajectories

Chen Chu, Hengcai Zhang, Jiayin Zhang, Lin Cong and Feng Lu

Journal of Air Transport Management, 2024, vol. 115, issue C

Abstract: Air transportation has been severely affected by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The closure of involved Russian and Ukrainian airspace made a great number of flights suffer from a dramatic transportation cost increase. Accurately estimating the conflict's impact can help us better comprehend the susceptibility of international airlines and optimize flying routes for global airlines. In this study, we quantitatively analyzed the impact the conflict has brought on global air transportation. The detour of airlines and the variation of flights caused by the conflict were assessed from the view of mass flight trajectories. A flight cost increment index is proposed to reveal the extra costs of involved countries. The impacts on each involved country are further analyzed and the airlines influenced the most are identified. The results show that the flight cost of 6.23% of global international flights significantly increased by 13.32% due to the conflict. Furthermore, as one of the few researches that analyze the impact of regional events on global air transportation, the result of the study reveals the vulnerability of international airlines and provides instruction for flying route optimization.

Keywords: Air transportation; Russia-Ukraine conflict; Global aviation; International airline (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:115:y:2024:i:c:s0969699723001655

DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102522

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