Impact analysis of September 11 on air travel demand in the USA

Sue Ling Lai and Whei-Li Lu

Journal of Air Transport Management, 2005, vol. 11, issue 6, 455-458

Abstract: This study uses an intervention model to look at the impact of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack on air transport passenger demand in the US. The result showed that both domestic and international air traffic was significantly impacted for 1 and 2 months, respectively. The impact pattern was thus abrupt and temporary, instead of gradual and permanent. The approach also provides better forecasts than the seasonal ARIMA benchmark.

Keywords: Terrorist; Impact analysis; SARIMA; Intervention (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:11:y:2005:i:6:p:455-458

DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2005.06.001

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