Air traffic predictability framework – Development, performance evaluation and application

Gonzalo Tobaruela, Peter Fransen, Wolfgang Schuster, Washington Y. Ochieng and Arnab Majumdar

Journal of Air Transport Management, 2014, vol. 39, issue C, 48-58

Abstract: The performance of the Air Traffic Flow & Capacity Management (ATFCM) function relies fundamentally on the accuracy of air traffic predictability. Characterising this accuracy and assessing the potential benefits of increased accuracy is fundamental to enhance the performance of the Air Traffic Management (ATM) system and identifying areas that require improvement. This paper develops a framework to assess air traffic predictability. It validates the proposed framework with real operational data and applies it to the Maastricht Upper Area Control centre. The paper develops a methodology to assess the benefits of the deployment of enhanced predictability including capacity, resulting from improved operational concepts such as Airport-Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM).

Keywords: Air Traffic Flow & Capacity Management; Enhanced Tactical Flow Management System; Trajectory prediction; Occupancy prediction; Maastricht Upper Area Control centre (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:39:y:2014:i:c:p:48-58

DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2014.04.001

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