Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system

McWillian de Oliveira, Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças, Marcelo Xavier Guterres, Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha and Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes

Journal of Air Transport Management, 2021, vol. 91, issue C

Abstract: Air traffic operations are significantly impacted by weather conditions. These external factors may impose operational constraints and generate demand-capacity imbalances, leading to reduced on-time performance, additional airline costs and inconveniences to passengers. Efficient management of such disruptions requires an understanding of the main causes of flight delays towards increasing their predictability. In this study, we investigate the impacts of airport surface weather conditions on the likelihood of flight delays for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system. We use historical flight schedule, on-time performance and weather data and estimate a logit model to analyze how different meteorological variables at the airport of destination affect the probability of a delayed arrival. We obtain empirical evidence for the impacts of low ceiling and visibility conditions, precipitation and wind gusts on the likelihood of arrival delays for the set of Brazilian airports analyzed.

Keywords: Flight delays; Aviation weather impacts; Logistic regression; Causal analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:91:y:2021:i:c:s0969699720305573

DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101974

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