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US monetary policy and the euro area

Max Hanisch

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2019, vol. 100, issue C, 77-96

Abstract: This study documents empirically that contractionary US monetary policy may generate short-term expansionary spillover effects. In individual Euro Area (EA) member countries, economic activity increases, mainly via the trade channel. Also, domestic credit and stock markets expand, highlighting the importance of the financial channel. However, the international repercussions are transitory and distributed unevenly within the EA. The effect diminishes as EA interest rates increase with a few quarters delay. While the effects are heterogenous and rather large before 1999, responses become more homogeneous and smaller in size after the implementation of the euro. Still, country-specific asymmetries remain.

Keywords: Structural dynamic factor model; Sign restrictions; Monetary policy; US; Euro area; Spillover effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.01.005

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Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:100:y:2019:i:c:p:77-96