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The q5 model and its consistency with the intertemporal CAPM

Qi Lin

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2021, vol. 127, issue C

Abstract: In this paper, we test the consistency of the q5 model of Hou et al. (2019, 2020) with Merton’s (1973) intertemporal capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) framework. We find that all but one factors in the q5 model carry significantly positive covariance risk prices. The profitability factor, however, has little explanatory power for the cross-section of expected returns. The time-series tests show that the investment factor predicts a significant decline in stock market volatility, thereby being consistent with its positive price of covariance risk and satisfying the sign restrictions associated with the ICAPM. Importantly, the expected growth factor that is found to be helpful in describing cross-sectional average returns fails to predict future investment opportunities with the correct sign, which indicates that it is not a valid risk factor under the ICAPM. Overall, the ICAPM cannot be used as a theoretical background for the q5 model.

Keywords: q5 Model; Intertemporal CAPM; Covariance risk price; Cross-section of stock returns; Investment opportunities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:127:y:2021:i:c:s0378426621000546

DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106096

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