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Stress testing and bank business patterns: A regression discontinuity study

Raffi E. García and Suzanne Steele

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2022, vol. 135, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines whether forward-looking disclosure requirements impact firm business patterns. We rely on the implementation of the Comprehensive Capital Analysis Review (CCAR) stress test on U.S. bank holding companies as our identification strategy. Using a regression discontinuity design to exploit the quasi-experimental properties of the regulation around the different bank-size policy thresholds, we document four key findings. First, stress testing reduces moral hazard by decreasing the ratio of risk-weighted assets to total assets. Second, the decrease in moral hazard is not at the expense of bank lending since reducing risk results in higher concentrations in lending as banks shift out of higher-risk assets. Third, stress test banks’ lower risk is perceived by investors and results in lower funding costs relative to non-stress test banks. Fourth, the increase in regulatory oversight and stricter capital and transparency requirements do not cause large banks to manipulate their bank size to avoid complying with the stress test requirements.

Keywords: Banking; Stress tests; Regulation; Capital requirements; Credit supply; Regression discontinuity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G20 G21 G28 G30 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:135:y:2022:i:c:s0378426620302260

DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105964

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