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Regime switching correlation hedging

Hsiang-Tai Lee

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2010, vol. 34, issue 11, 2728-2741

Abstract: This paper investigates the hedging effectiveness of commodity futures when the correlations of spot and futures returns are subject to multi-state regime shifts. An independent switching dynamic conditional correlation GARCH (IS-DCC) which is free from the problems of path-dependency and recombining is applied to model multi-regime switching correlations. The results of hedging exercises indicate that state-dependent IS-DCC outperforms state-independent DCC GARCH and three-state IS-DCC exhibits superior hedging effectiveness, illustrating importance of modeling higher-state switching correlations for dynamic futures hedging.

Keywords: Correlation; hedging; Minimum; variance; hedge; ratio; GARCH; model; Markov; regime; switching; Commodity; futures (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (32)

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