Future labor income growth and the cross-section of equity returns
Dongcheol Kim,
Tong Suk Kim and
Byoung-Kyu Min
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2011, vol. 35, issue 1, 67-81
Abstract:
This paper examines the equilibrium relation between future labor income growth and expected asset returns; it proposes revisions in the expectation of future labor income growth as a macroeconomic state variable and suggests a three-factor model, including a factor related to this variable, along with the consumption growth factor and the market factor. The proposed future labor income growth factor is positively associated with the Fama-French factors and subsumes their explanatory power in explaining the cross-section of stock returns. These results provide a possible economic explanation for the roles of the Fama-French factors: they are compensation for higher exposure to the risk related to changes in the value of human capital. This paper also compares the performance of the proposed three-factor model with other competing models and finds that the proposed model specification better captures cross-sectional variation in average returns than any of the competing asset pricing models considered.
Keywords: Future; labor; income; growth; Fama-French; factors; Economic; tracking; portfolio; Intertemporal; CAPM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:1:p:67-81
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