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Banking crises: An equal opportunity menace

Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013, vol. 37, issue 11, 4557-4573

Abstract: The historical frequency of banking crises is similar in advanced and developing countries, with quantitative parallels in both the run-ups and the aftermath. We establish these regularities using a dataset spanning from the early 1800s to the present. Banking crises weaken fiscal positions, with government revenues invariably contracting. Three years after a crisis central government debt increases by about 86%. The fiscal burden of banking crisis extends beyond the cost of the bailouts. We find that systemic banking crises are typically preceded by asset price bubbles, large capital inflows and credit booms, in rich and poor countries alike.

Keywords: Banking; Financial crises; Recessions; Real estate; Debt; Historical (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E6 F3 N0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (177)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Banking Crises: An Equal Opportunity Menace (2008) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:11:p:4557-4573

DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.03.005

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